Charlie Kolar
TE
27 yrs · 6′6″, 250 lb · Iowa State · 2022 rd 4 pk 128
Projections
Charlie Kolar is listed Doubtful and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.11 | – | 55% | 1.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.09 | – | 53% | 1.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.08 | 1.00 | 41% | 1.7 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.10 | – | 59% | 2.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 6% | 0 | – | 59% | 5 |
| 2025 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 142 | 2 | 5% | 1 | 3 | 40% | 36 |
| 2024 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 131 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 1 | 31% | 28 |
| 2023 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 87 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 2 | 32% | 22 |
| 2022 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 14% | 0 | 1 | 44% | 9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often forearm
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 35 | 10% vs 11% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Receptions | 35 | 89% | 0.8 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 35 | 94% | 11.6 | +1.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 35 | 91% | 12.0 | +1.6 |
| First TD scorer | 34 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 22 | 91% | 7.3 | +1.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  LV | 62% | 3 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  ARI | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  GB | 49% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NE | 49% | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CIN | 51% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  PIT | 24% | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | CIN | 17% | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  NYJ | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  CLE | 31% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  MIN | 43% | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |