Cade Otton
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 17.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 95%
27 yrs · 6′5″, 247 lb · Washington · 2022 rd 4 pk 106
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 31.8 | 8.6 – 74.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 1.0 – 6.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.0 | 5.9 – 30.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 32.9 | 7.9 – 80.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 17.9% | no range | +460 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.9% | no range | +1950 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 40.0 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.38 | 2.00 | 94% | 7.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 49.4 | 0.20 | 21% | 0.43 | 2.00 | 95% | 10.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 33.9 | 0.10 | 17% | 0.36 | 1.40 | 93% | 7.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 40.0 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.38 | 2.00 | 94% | 7.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 120 | 0 | 18% | 1 | 2 | 94% | 23 |
| 2025 | 15 | 81 | 59 | 572 | 1 | 17% | 5 | 7 | 94% | 122 |
| 2024 | 14 | 87 | 59 | 600 | 4 | 18% | 5 | 16 | 93% | 141 |
| 2023 | 17 | 67 | 47 | 455 | 4 | 12% | 4 | 11 | 96% | 119 |
| 2022 | 16 | 65 | 42 | 391 | 2 | 9% | 3 | 16 | 69% | 93 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 5 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 66 | 79% | 2.0 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 66 | 71% | 21.7 | +2.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 66 | 77% | 21.9 | +1.9 |
| Anytime TD | 66 | 22% vs 15% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 66 | 5% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 61 | 80% | 6.9 | +0.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIN | 94% | 6 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CLE | 89% | 6 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CIN | 98% | 5 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CAR | 96% | 9 | 7 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIA | 97% | 4 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CAR | 94% | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NO | 81% | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ARI | 97% | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LA | 86% | 7 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BUF | 97% | 5 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |