Dontayvion Wicks
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 58%
25 yrs · 6′1″, 206 lb · Virginia · 2023 rd 5 pk 159
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.5 | 0.0 – 14.7 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 31.7 | 6.5 – 73.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 1.0 – 4.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.8 | 6.4 – 33.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 34.6 | 3.8 – 77.9 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 14.4% | no range | +594 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.9% | no range | +3293 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 59.7 | 0.33 | 19% | 0.50 | 1.33 | 80% | 11.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 39.6 | 0.20 | 14% | 0.35 | 1.33 | 58% | 7.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 37.7 | 0.30 | 15% | 0.35 | 1.20 | 55% | 8.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 59.7 | 0.33 | 19% | 0.50 | 1.33 | 80% | 11.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 179 | 1 | 19% | 1 | 4 | 80% | 33 |
| 2025 | 13 | 46 | 30 | 332 | 2 | 13% | 4 | 4 | 47% | 76 |
| 2024 | 17 | 76 | 39 | 415 | 5 | 16% | 7 | 14 | 55% | 111 |
| 2023 | 15 | 58 | 39 | 581 | 4 | 12% | 4 | 8 | 48% | 120 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 3 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often calf
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 48 | 83% | 1.4 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 48 | 90% | 20.8 | +1.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 48 | 88% | 20.8 | +2.0 |
| Anytime TD | 48 | 16% vs 19% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 48 | 4% vs 8% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 41 | 88% | 7.4 | +0.9 |
| Longest rush | 2 | 100% | 2.9 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CHI | 88% | 5 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TEN | 62% | 6 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  WAS | 91% | 4 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BAL | 6% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CHI | 42% | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DEN | 42% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DET | 49% | 7 | 6 | 94 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  MIN | 48% | 4 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  NYG | 56% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  PHI | 65% | 8 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |