Will Mallory
TE
27 yrs · 6′4″, 239 lb · Miami · 2023 rd 5 pk 162
Projections
Will Mallory is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.08 | – | 17% | 1.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 6.6 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.09 | – | 18% | 1.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.08 | – | 15% | 1.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 19% | 3 |
| 2024 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 4% | 1 | – | 16% | 7 |
| 2023 | 11 | 26 | 18 | 207 | 0 | 7% | 2 | 1 | 20% | 39 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often lung
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 19 | 89% | 0.9 | +0.3 |
| Receiving yards | 19 | 89% | 13.2 | +3.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 19 | 89% | 13.1 | +3.3 |
| Anytime TD | 19 | 8% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 19 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 13 | 85% | 7.5 | +2.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 17 |  JAX | 19% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 15 |  DEN | 24% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 13 |  NE | 8% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 10 |  BUF | 19% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 8 |  HOU | 19% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 7 |  MIA | 5% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 6 |  TEN | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 5 | JAX | 23% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 wk 18 | HOU | 3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 wk 17 |  LV | 16% | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |