NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Evan Hull

RB
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
44.5
Implied team total
23.5
Depth
#5
Recent snaps
19%

25 yrs · 5′10″, 209 lb · Northwestern · 2023 rd 5 pk 176

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards11.20.0 – 31.1–Little to go on
Rush attempts2.40.0 – 7.9–Little to go on
Longest rush7.61.6 – 16.1–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards3.40.0 – 9.7–Little to go on
Receptions0.70.0 – 1.7–Little to go on
Longest reception9.71.0 – 20.8–Little to go on
Rush + rec yards14.60.0 – 36.0–Little to go on
Touchdowns
Anytime TD4.3%no range+2241Little to go on
First TD scorer1.0%no range+9779Little to go on

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 333.05.70.000.00.00.01.0018%0.6
Last 552.86.60.000.20.21.21.5019%1.0
Last 1072.97.00.000.30.31.71.5018%1.2

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
2025619480116319%6
20231110116–11%2

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

No injury report entries on record. Reports go back to 2009, so this is genuinely a clean sheet rather than missing data — unless he arrived before then.

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards771%10.6-4.6
Receptions7100%0.6-0.1
Receiving yards7100%4.1-0.8
Rush attempts7100%2.1-0.0
Rush + rec yards771%14.1-9.6
Anytime TD79% vs 0%0.1-0.1
First TD scorer72% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest rush786%4.8-2.6
Longest reception2100%4.4-4.4

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 7 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 18ATL12%00021100
2025 wk 17TEN20%0002300
2025 wk 16NYJ21%0005300
2025 wk 15CAR32%00041200
2025 wk 14TB12%1161400
2025 wk 13MIA18%00051500
2023 wk 1JAX11%1161100