NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Zavier Scott

RB
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
43.5
Implied team total
23.5
Recent snaps
10%

27 yrs · 6′1″, 221 lb · Maine

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards12.80.0 – 38.5–Solid
Rush attempts2.70.0 – 7.3–Solid
Longest rush9.11.6 – 16.4–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards3.70.0 – 13.9–Solid
Receptions1.00.0 – 1.9–Solid
Longest reception10.41.6 – 21.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards16.50.0 – 40.2–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD6.6%no range+1426Solid
First TD scorer2.2%no range+4412Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 331.74.30.000.70.75.32.007%1.6
Last 552.29.00.000.80.85.02.0010%2.2
Last 10102.48.40.001.51.37.82.0014%3.3

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202511321140161498615%39

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2025AnkleWrist

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD1113% vs 9%0.2+0.1
Rushing yards1191%12.4-3.2
Receptions1182%1.1+0.3
Receiving yards1191%9.4+2.5
Rush attempts11100%2.1-0.3
Rush + rec yards1182%13.0+0.3
First TD scorer93% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest rush989%3.4+0.0
Longest reception888%5.2+0.4

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 18GB9%1183900
2025 wk 17DET0%0000000
2025 wk 16NYG13%1182400
2025 wk 14WAS9%11531500
2025 wk 13SEA19%11431700
2025 wk 9DET0%0000000
2025 wk 8LAC12%22821600
2025 wk 7PHI13%1124400
2025 wk 5CLE22%00051800
2025 wk 4PIT38%86432101