Quentin Johnston
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 17.8
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 80%
25 yrs · 6′2″, 208 lb · TCU · 2023 rd 1 pk 21
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.8 | 0.0 – 16.7 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 29.3 | 7.1 – 71.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 1.0 – 5.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.8 | 6.5 – 37.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 34.4 | 5.1 – 82.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 15.4% | no range | +549 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.5% | no range | +2720 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 21.3 | 0.00 | 20% | 0.44 | – | 82% | 4.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 36.4 | 0.00 | 21% | 0.52 | 2.00 | 80% | 6.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 35.9 | 0.20 | 19% | 0.46 | 1.50 | 77% | 7.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 21.3 | 0.00 | 20% | 0.44 | – | 82% | 4.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 17 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 20% | 1 | – | 82% | 13 |
| 2025 | 13 | 84 | 51 | 735 | 8 | 20% | 6 | 15 | 79% | 171 |
| 2024 | 15 | 91 | 55 | 711 | 8 | 21% | 7 | 12 | 71% | 175 |
| 2023 | 17 | 67 | 38 | 431 | 2 | 11% | 5 | 8 | 65% | 94 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often groin
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 47 | 85% | 1.6 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 47 | 79% | 25.6 | +1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 47 | 79% | 27.1 | -0.7 |
| Anytime TD | 47 | 24% vs 34% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 47 | 5% vs 9% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 43 | 84% | 11.7 | +1.8 |
| Longest rush | 8 | 88% | 4.5 | +0.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BUF | 87% | 6 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  LV | 81% | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  ARI | 78% | 6 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  NE | 77% | 6 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  HOU | 75% | 8 | 5 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DAL | 58% | 5 | 4 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  PHI | 76% | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | LV | 67% | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  JAX | 90% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  PIT | 82% | 10 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |