Tank Bigsby
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 24%
24 yrs · 5′11″, 215 lb · Auburn · 2023 rd 3 pk 88
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 16.0 | 0.0 – 46.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 3.8 | 1.0 – 10.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 8.5 | 1.6 – 17.6 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 3.2 | 0.0 – 12.3 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.0 – 1.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.1 | 1.6 – 21.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 19.3 | 0.0 – 55.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 9.5% | no range | +949 | Differs from form |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5575 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.7 | 12.0 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 1.50 | 16% | 3.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.8 | 26.0 | 0.40 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 2.75 | 24% | 6.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.9 | 24.3 | 0.30 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 2.86 | 19% | 5.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 4.7 | 12.0 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 1.50 | 16% | 3.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 16% | 12 |
| 2025 | 15 | 63 | 356 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 14% | 54 |
| 2024 | 16 | 168 | 766 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 54 | 35 | 36% | 129 |
| 2023 | 13 | 50 | 132 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14% | 25 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 45 | 80% | 22.8 | +0.9 |
| Receptions | 45 | 100% | 0.6 | -0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 45 | 93% | 5.3 | -2.3 |
| Rush attempts | 45 | 80% | 4.0 | +0.7 |
| Rush + rec yards | 45 | 80% | 25.4 | +0.0 |
| Anytime TD | 45 | 17% vs 20% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 40 | 4% vs 5% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 40 | 85% | 7.9 | +1.5 |
| Longest reception | 10 | 60% | 8.4 | +1.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CHI | 4% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TEN | 34% | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  WAS | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  SF | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | WAS | 59% | 1 | 1 | 31 | 16 | 75 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BUF | 9% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | WAS | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LV | 39% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LAC | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  DAL | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |