NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
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Tre Tucker

WR
97% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
21.5
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
77%

25 yrs · 5′8″, 182 lb · Cincinnati · 2023 rd 3 pk 100

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.80.0 – 14.5–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards43.28.1 – 84.6–Solid
Receptions3.41.0 – 5.2–Solid
Longest reception21.86.7 – 42.6–Solid
Rush + rec yards44.77.2 – 91.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD20.6%no range+385Solid
First TD scorer3.5%no range+2738Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 335.03.763.00.3317%0.461.0062%12.0
Last 555.43.653.60.2019%0.491.0077%10.2
Last 10105.33.038.30.1019%0.481.0086%7.6
2026 season35.03.763.00.3317%0.461.0062%12.0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202631511189117%1162%36
2025179257696519%81095%162
2024178147539314%6587%129
202313341933128%3436%72

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

No injury report entries on record. Reports go back to 2009, so this is genuinely a clean sheet rather than missing data — unless he arrived before then.

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions4785%1.4+0.1
Receiving yards4779%22.8+1.7
Rush + rec yards4781%24.3+1.2
Anytime TD4719% vs 17%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer475% vs 2%0.1-0.0
Longest reception4075%12.6+1.4
Longest rush2685%4.8+1.8

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3NO57%44430000
2026 wk 2LAC59%751190001
2026 wk 1MIA71%42270000
2025 wk 18KC98%62301400
2025 wk 17NYG100%65492000
2025 wk 16HOU100%544321100
2025 wk 15PHI93%3000000
2025 wk 14DEN94%52240000
2025 wk 13LAC96%33200000
2025 wk 12CLE95%103280000