Aidan O'Connell
QB
28 yrs · 6′3″, 206 lb · Purdue · 2023 rd 4 pk 135
No projection for the current slate — this player may be inactive, ruled out, or not on a team playing this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 30.3 | 18.0 | 186.0 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 0.67 | 12.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 29.6 | 17.8 | 183.8 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 4.2 | 7.4 | 1.00 | 11.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 26.5 | 16.4 | 171.4 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 1.10 | 9.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 2024 | 9 | 243 | 154 | 1,612 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 30 | 10 | 93 |
| 2023 | 11 | 343 | 213 | 2,218 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 24 | 126 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often wrist
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 21 | 90% | 69.7 | +15.9 |
| Passing TDs | 21 | 95% | 0.8 | +0.2 |
| Completions | 21 | 81% | 5.7 | +1.2 |
| Rushing yards | 21 | 90% | 3.2 | -0.5 |
| Pass attempts | 21 | 76% | 8.5 | +1.5 |
| Interceptions | 21 | 95% | 0.6 | +0.0 |
| Pass + rush yards | 21 | 86% | 74.2 | +12.2 |
| Rush attempts | 21 | 76% | 1.5 | +0.4 |
| Anytime TD | 21 | 9% vs 10% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 21 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest completion | 21 | 86% | 10.8 | +0.4 |
| Longest rush | 12 | 100% | 4.3 | -1.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  KC | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 102 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  LAC | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 214 | 2 |
| 2024 wk 17 |  NO | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 242 | 2 |
| 2024 wk 16 |  JAX | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 257 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 14 |  TB | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 104 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 13 | KC | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 340 | 2 |
| 2024 wk 7 |  LA | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 6 |  PIT | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 5 |  DEN | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 3 |  CAR | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 1 |