NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Parker Washington

WR
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
24.5
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
74%

24 yrs · 5′10″, 204 lb · Penn State · 2023 rd 6 pk 185

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush7.30.0 – 17.7–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards57.716.5 – 116.3–Solid
Receptions4.71.0 – 7.4–Solid
Longest reception26.110.0 – 46.4–Solid
Rush + rec yards61.811.3 – 124.4–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD36.2%no range+176Differs from form
First TD scorer7.6%no range+1220Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 337.75.073.70.6730%0.753.0074%16.4
Last 558.85.483.00.8032%0.793.0074%18.5
Last 10107.75.082.50.6026%0.652.1767%16.8
2026 season37.75.073.70.6730%0.753.0074%16.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202632315221230%2374%49
2025169558847518%71661%185
2024145132390311%4961%97
20238211613226%1342%39

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often hip

2025Hip×2
2023Knee×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions3977%1.7+0.1
Receiving yards3979%25.7-2.0
Rush + rec yards3974%25.1-1.0
Anytime TD3917% vs 28%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer374% vs 8%0.1+0.0
Longest reception3288%8.3+0.1
Longest rush560%3.4+2.6

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3NE81%53400001
2026 wk 2DEN81%127980000
2026 wk 1CLE61%65830001
2025 wk 19BUF71%1271072201
2025 wk 18TEN74%95870001
2025 wk 17IND81%1081151-500
2025 wk 16DEN56%1061450001
2025 wk 15NYJ45%33530000
2025 wk 13TEN38%31260000
2025 wk 12ARI84%75710001