Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 35%
27 yrs · 5′11″, 224 lb · Kentucky · 2023 rd 6 pk 193
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 28.6 | 3.1 – 63.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 6.7 | 1.0 – 13.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 12.2 | 3.5 – 23.7 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.4 | 0.0 – 8.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.0 – 1.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.9 | 1.3 – 22.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 33.1 | 3.6 – 77.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 23.9% | no range | +318 | Differs from form |
| First TD scorer | 3.3% | no range | +2959 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.7 | 24.3 | 0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.67 | 28% | 4.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.2 | 40.2 | 0.60 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 3.20 | 35% | 8.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.5 | 45.4 | 0.60 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 3.00 | 37% | 8.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.7 | 24.3 | 0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.67 | 28% | 4.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 20 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28% | 13 |
| 2025 | 12 | 112 | 500 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 34 | 34% | 92 |
| 2024 | 7 | 35 | 173 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 15% | 32 |
| 2023 | 9 | 51 | 247 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 16% | 38 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often illness
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 28 | 75% | 21.6 | +1.7 |
| Receptions | 28 | 100% | 0.5 | -0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 28 | 100% | 4.4 | -1.6 |
| Rush attempts | 28 | 89% | 3.5 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 28 | 79% | 21.3 | +2.9 |
| Anytime TD | 28 | 15% vs 32% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 26 | 4% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 26 | 77% | 6.2 | +1.8 |
| Longest reception | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NE | 21% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DEN | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CLE | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  PHI | 42% | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | 65 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 | PHI | 52% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIN | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | DEN | 41% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  MIA | 45% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  DET | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  SEA | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 65 | 0 | 1 |