Tyrell Shavers
WR
27 yrs · 6′4″, 211 lb · San Diego State; Mississippi State; Alabama
Projections
Tyrell Shavers is listed PUP and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 23.7 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.24 | – | 56% | 3.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 35.4 | 0.20 | 9% | 0.26 | – | 56% | 6.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 23.5 | 0.10 | 8% | 0.20 | – | 46% | 4.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 23 | 15 | 245 | 1 | 8% | 2 | – | 42% | 46 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 69 | 1 | 4% | 0 | – | 14% | 14 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 13 | 11% vs 15% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Receptions | 13 | 85% | 0.8 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 13 | 85% | 18.1 | +6.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 13 | 85% | 20.8 | +3.4 |
| First TD scorer | 13 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 10 | 80% | 12.7 | +5.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 19 |  JAX | 54% | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PHI | 57% | 3 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  CLE | 58% | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  CIN | 56% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  TB | 54% | 5 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  MIA | 35% | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  KC | 47% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  ATL | 49% | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  NE | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  NO | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |