Emari Demercado
RB- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 26%
27 yrs · 5′9″, 215 lb · TCU
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 15.1 | 0.0 – 38.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 3.3 | 0.0 – 8.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 9.5 | 2.0 – 17.9 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.6 | 0.0 – 13.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.9 | 0.0 – 2.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.5 | 1.8 – 20.8 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 19.6 | 0.0 – 50.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.5% | no range | +1232 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.9% | no range | +5074 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 14.7 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 9.3 | 1.00 | 16% | 2.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.4 | 17.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 1.00 | 26% | 3.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.2 | 23.8 | 0.00 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 8.8 | 1.75 | 25% | 4.4 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 13% | 0.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13% | 2 |
| 2025 | 12 | 44 | 312 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 101 | 9 | 25% | 58 |
| 2024 | 13 | 24 | 223 | 1 | 20 | 16 | 104 | 4 | 20% | 55 |
| 2023 | 11 | 58 | 284 | 2 | 30 | 21 | 119 | 4 | 38% | 73 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 8 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 36 | 69% | 20.3 | +3.7 |
| Receptions | 36 | 86% | 1.3 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 36 | 89% | 10.4 | +0.4 |
| Rush attempts | 36 | 86% | 3.2 | +0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 36 | 69% | 22.2 | +6.0 |
| Anytime TD | 36 | 14% vs 11% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 35 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 30 | 73% | 11.7 | +3.6 |
| Longest reception | 23 | 70% | 7.2 | +1.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  WAS | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  LA | 22% | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CIN | 53% | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  ATL | 32% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  HOU | 11% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  SF | 18% | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  SEA | 42% | 4 | 3 | 40 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  DAL | 40% | 1 | 1 | -1 | 14 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  IND | 4% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |