Blake Whiteheart
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 51%
26 yrs · 6′4″, 250 lb · Wake Forest
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 11.7 | 0.0 – 29.7 | 0.5 | -101 / -124DK | 87% | +73.4%over | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 0.0 – 2.8 | 0.5 | -120 / -106DK | 71% | +29.7%over | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.7 | 2.7 – 22.9 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 11.8 | 0.0 – 26.4 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 7.9% | no range | yes | +1100 / –FD | – | no bet | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.9% | no range | yes | +4000 / –FD | – | no bet | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 10.3 | 0.33 | 5% | 0.11 | 1.00 | 50% | 3.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 6.2 | 0.20 | 5% | 0.09 | 1.00 | 51% | 2.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.10 | 3% | 0.07 | 1.00 | 38% | 1.4 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 15.5 | 0.50 | 6% | 0.11 | 1.00 | 43% | 5.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 43% | 11 |
| 2025 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 0 | – | 33% | 2 |
| 2024 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 2 | 29% | 17 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 16 | 8% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Receptions | 16 | 94% | 0.8 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 16 | 100% | 7.7 | -2.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 16 | 100% | 7.7 | -2.4 |
| First TD scorer | 16 | 2% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 6 | 50% | 10.1 | +0.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 47% | 2 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  JAX | 39% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CIN | 65% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 62% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 42% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  NYJ | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  MIA | 61% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 | PIT | 27% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  DET | 18% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |