Julian Hill
TE26 yrs · 6′4″, 251 lb · Campbell University
Projections
Julian Hill is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 16.3 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.12 | – | 54% | 3.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 12.6 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.11 | – | 53% | 2.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 14.0 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.13 | 1.00 | 56% | 2.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 140 | 0 | 7% | 1 | 4 | 56% | 31 |
| 2024 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 100 | 0 | 4% | 1 | 6 | 48% | 22 |
| 2023 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 3% | 1 | 2 | 40% | 9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 35 | 97% | 0.8 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 35 | 100% | 8.5 | -0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 35 | 100% | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| Anytime TD | 35 | 11% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 35 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 22 | 91% | 5.4 | +0.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  NE | 61% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TB | 60% | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  PIT | 42% | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NO | 55% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  WAS | 46% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  CLE | 60% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  LAC | 61% | 3 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  CAR | 53% | 5 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  NYJ | 69% | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  BUF | 56% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |