Hunter Luepke
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 23%
26 yrs · 6′1″, 250 lb · North Dakota State
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 10.5 | 0.0 – 33.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 2.2 | 0.0 – 6.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 8.9 | 1.5 – 15.9 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 6.5 | 0.0 – 13.4 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 2.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.2 | 1.7 – 23.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 17.0 | 0.0 – 56.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.6% | no range | +1217 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.3% | no range | +7736 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 6.7 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.00 | 23% | 1.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 6.4 | 1.00 | 23% | 2.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.6 | 7.1 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8.9 | 1.00 | 21% | 2.5 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 22% | 0.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 22% | 1 |
| 2025 | 14 | 16 | 71 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 109 | 5 | 22% | 37 |
| 2024 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 111 | 3 | 31% | 27 |
| 2023 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 13% | 13 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 38 | 95% | 6.4 | -2.3 |
| Receptions | 38 | 95% | 0.8 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 38 | 89% | 7.4 | -0.7 |
| Rush attempts | 38 | 97% | 1.4 | -0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 38 | 95% | 12.3 | -3.0 |
| Anytime TD | 38 | 9% vs 5% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 38 | 2% vs 3% | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 20 | 85% | 4.8 | +0.9 |
| Longest rush | 17 | 94% | 3.0 | +0.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  WAS | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | NYG | 24% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | WAS | 34% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LAC | 14% | 2 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIN | 21% | 2 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DET | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  PHI | 20% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  LV | 24% | 3 | 3 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  ARI | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |