Jaleel McLaughlin
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 18%
26 yrs · 5′9″, 183 lb · Youngstown State
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | |||||||
| Rushing yards | 13.3 | 0.0 – 47.4 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 2.7 | 0.0 – 8.2 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.2 | 2.1 – 19.2 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 3.9 | 0.0 – 11.2 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.9 | 0.0 – 1.9 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.1 | 1.4 – 23.3 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 17.2 | 0.0 – 44.0 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 6.4% | no range | yes | +4000 / –DK | – | +161.4%doubt | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.9% | no range | yes | +11000 / –DK | – | +110.4%doubt | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 11.7 | 0.00 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.00 | 15% | 1.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.4 | 23.2 | 0.00 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 1.00 | 18% | 3.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.5 | 22.2 | 0.10 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.20 | 16% | 3.6 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 14% | 0.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 14% | 0 |
| 2025 | 8 | 37 | 187 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 16% | 31 |
| 2024 | 16 | 113 | 496 | 1 | 27 | 24 | 76 | 18 | 28% | 97 |
| 2023 | 17 | 76 | 410 | 1 | 36 | 31 | 160 | 14 | 19% | 106 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often quadricep
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 44 | 91% | 16.7 | +2.8 |
| Receptions | 44 | 91% | 1.0 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 44 | 93% | 6.9 | +0.6 |
| Rush attempts | 44 | 98% | 2.4 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 44 | 82% | 18.8 | +4.3 |
| Anytime TD | 44 | 15% vs 16% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 44 | 4% vs 9% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 43 | 81% | 5.3 | +1.2 |
| Longest reception | 30 | 80% | 6.2 | -0.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  NE | 17% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  BUF | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  LAC | 22% | 2 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  KC | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  JAX | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  GB | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LV | 14% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  WAS | 19% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | KC | 13% | 1 | 1 | -5 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 1 |