Emanuel Wilson
RB- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 24.8
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 31%
27 yrs · 5′10″, 226 lb · Fort Valley State College
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 32.7 | 0.0 – 69.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 7.4 | 1.0 – 14.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 12.0 | 3.3 – 24.1 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 3.3 | 0.0 – 8.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 0.0 – 1.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 9.8 | 1.0 – 21.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 36.0 | 3.5 – 80.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 20.4% | no range | +389 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.3% | no range | +2929 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 10.7 | 36.3 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 28% | 3.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.2 | 31.2 | 0.00 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.33 | 31% | 3.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.7 | 28.1 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.83 | 29% | 3.1 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 10.7 | 36.3 | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 28% | 3.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 32 | 109 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 28% | 11 |
| 2025 | 17 | 125 | 496 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 99 | 27 | 31% | 95 |
| 2024 | 17 | 103 | 502 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 48 | 16 | 23% | 96 |
| 2023 | 5 | 14 | 85 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 9% | 15 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 43 | 79% | 18.9 | +1.8 |
| Receptions | 43 | 95% | 0.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 43 | 84% | 7.7 | +0.2 |
| Rush attempts | 43 | 88% | 3.4 | +0.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 43 | 72% | 23.1 | +2.5 |
| Anytime TD | 43 | 16% vs 16% | 0.3 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 43 | 3% vs 2% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 42 | 90% | 5.2 | +0.3 |
| Longest reception | 23 | 57% | 7.9 | +2.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 2 | 41% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 1 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 19 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 18 | 55% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 16 | 46% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 82 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 14 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 13 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 |