NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Emanuel Wilson

RB
93% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
24.8
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
31%

27 yrs · 5′10″, 226 lb · Fort Valley State College

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards32.70.0 – 69.9–Solid
Rush attempts7.41.0 – 14.2–Solid
Longest rush12.03.3 – 24.1–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards3.30.0 – 8.7–Solid
Receptions0.60.0 – 1.8–Solid
Longest reception9.81.0 – 21.7–Solid
Rush + rec yards36.03.5 – 80.7–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD20.4%no range+389Solid
First TD scorer3.3%no range+2929Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 3310.736.30.000.30.00.05.0028%3.6
Last 5510.231.20.000.40.20.84.3331%3.4
Last 10107.728.10.000.30.21.22.8329%3.1
2026 season310.736.30.000.30.00.05.0028%3.6

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202633210901001028%11
20251712549631715992731%95
20241710350241411481623%96
2023514850542319%15

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder

2025Illness
2024Hip
2023Shoulder×3

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards4379%18.9+1.8
Receptions4395%0.7+0.1
Receiving yards4384%7.7+0.2
Rush attempts4388%3.4+0.8
Rush + rec yards4372%23.1+2.5
Anytime TD4316% vs 16%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer433% vs 2%0.1-0.0
Longest rush4290%5.2+0.3
Longest reception2357%7.9+2.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3WAS36%00091400
2026 wk 2ARI41%100219200
2026 wk 1NE6%0002300
2025 wk 19CHI18%0001300
2025 wk 18MIN55%114184400
2025 wk 17BAL36%11831600
2025 wk 16CHI46%000148200
2025 wk 15DEN20%0002300
2025 wk 14CHI15%00031000
2025 wk 13DET19%00041400