Ryan Miller
WR
43% to play
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 14.0
- Depth
- #6
- Recent snaps
- 9%
26 yrs · 6′2″, 221 lb · Furman
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.7 | 0.0 – 19.9 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 12.5 | 0.0 – 30.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 1.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 16.8 | 3.7 – 37.5 | – | Differs from form |
| Rush + rec yards | 11.4 | 0.0 – 27.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 5.0% | no range | +1907 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.4% | no range | +7098 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 30.7 | 0.33 | 4% | 0.12 | – | 11% | 6.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 18.4 | 0.20 | 3% | 0.07 | – | 9% | 3.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 0.20 | 2% | 0.06 | 1.00 | 14% | 3.0 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 46.0 | 0.50 | 6% | 0.18 | – | 17% | 9.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 92 | 1 | 6% | 0 | – | 17% | 18 |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 1 | 1% | 0 | 1 | 14% | 11 |
| 2024 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 128 | 2 | 6% | 1 | 3 | 42% | 37 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often hip
2026Hip
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 19 | 100% | 0.7 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 19 | 100% | 10.7 | +0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 19 | 100% | 10.9 | +0.0 |
| Anytime TD | 19 | 9% vs 16% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 17 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 10 | 70% | 8.3 | +2.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  KC | 22% | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  SF | 12% | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NO | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ARI | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BUF | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  NE | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  DET | 13% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 | SF | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  NYJ | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 2 |  HOU | 22% | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |