Brenton Strange
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 76%
25 yrs · 6′4″, 253 lb · Penn State · 2023 rd 2 pk 61
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 31.3 | 5.4 – 69.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.2 | 1.0 – 5.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.9 | 5.8 – 32.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 32.4 | 0.0 – 65.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 22.2% | no range | +351 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.3% | no range | +2959 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 24.0 | 0.33 | 13% | 0.29 | 1.00 | 76% | 6.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 26.6 | 0.40 | 15% | 0.32 | 1.00 | 76% | 8.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 32.4 | 0.40 | 16% | 0.32 | 1.50 | 78% | 8.6 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 24.0 | 0.33 | 13% | 0.29 | 1.00 | 76% | 6.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 72 | 1 | 13% | 1 | 2 | 76% | 20 |
| 2025 | 12 | 60 | 46 | 540 | 3 | 16% | 4 | 10 | 75% | 118 |
| 2024 | 14 | 53 | 40 | 411 | 2 | 11% | 3 | 6 | 59% | 91 |
| 2023 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 4 | 34% | 14 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often foot
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 34 | 88% | 1.5 | +0.3 |
| Receiving yards | 34 | 76% | 17.0 | +0.9 |
| Rush + rec yards | 34 | 74% | 17.7 | +0.2 |
| Anytime TD | 34 | 16% vs 18% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 34 | 4% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 29 | 93% | 6.6 | +0.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NE | 77% | 5 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DEN | 83% | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CLE | 68% | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  BUF | 88% | 5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  TEN | 62% | 6 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  IND | 81% | 5 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | DEN | 74% | 7 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NYJ | 82% | 3 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | IND | 80% | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | TEN | 84% | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |