NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Sean Tucker

RB
54% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
38.5
Implied team total
17.5
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
10%

24 yrs · 5′10″, 205 lb · Syracuse

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards12.70.0 – 42.0–Solid
Rush attempts3.00.0 – 9.7–Solid
Longest rush8.21.8 – 17.1–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards2.70.0 – 9.5–Solid
Receptions0.70.0 – 1.4–Solid
Longest reception10.01.3 – 20.3–Little to go on
Rush + rec yards15.40.0 – 46.1–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD10.9%no range+819Differs from form
First TD scorer2.8%no range+3420Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 333.32.30.330.30.00.03.007%2.2
Last 554.28.60.600.20.00.02.7510%4.5
Last 10107.528.60.600.70.43.63.0021%7.8

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202517863207118342416%91
20241750308212910959%69
2023315230229–16%5

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring

2026Hamstring

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards3781%19.7+2.5
Receptions3795%0.7-0.0
Receiving yards3786%6.4+0.2
Rush attempts3789%3.1+0.7
Rush + rec yards3778%24.2+4.1
Anytime TD3711% vs 22%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer293% vs 7%0.1+0.0
Longest rush2879%7.7+1.7
Longest reception1377%7.7+2.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 18CAR7%0004-400
2025 wk 17MIA6%1002800
2025 wk 16CAR8%0004301
2025 wk 15ATL12%0004701
2025 wk 14NO16%00072901
2025 wk 13ARI15%0002000
2025 wk 12LA37%214124200
2025 wk 11BUF44%22341910603
2025 wk 10NE32%21-295300
2025 wk 8NO34%000124201