Cedric Tillman
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.0
- Recent snaps
- 62%
26 yrs · 6′3″, 215 lb · Tennessee · 2023 rd 3 pk 74
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 8.0 | 0.0 – 15.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 14.4 | 0.0 – 43.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0.0 – 2.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 16.3 | 3.3 – 34.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 14.7 | 0.0 – 45.9 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.5% | no range | +1439 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.3% | no range | +7478 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 24.3 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.17 | – | 61% | 3.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 19.2 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.17 | – | 62% | 2.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 19.6 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.24 | 1.00 | 61% | 3.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 39 | 21 | 270 | 2 | 11% | 3 | 4 | 66% | 60 |
| 2024 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 339 | 3 | 13% | 3 | 7 | 62% | 80 |
| 2023 | 11 | 44 | 21 | 224 | 0 | 11% | 3 | 7 | 74% | 44 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 3 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 32 | 91% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 32 | 84% | 21.0 | +1.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 32 | 78% | 20.8 | +1.8 |
| Anytime TD | 32 | 13% vs 13% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 32 | 4% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 29 | 66% | 9.4 | -0.8 |
| Longest rush | 2 | 50% | 7.7 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  CIN | 77% | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 58% | 1 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 47% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 64% | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 63% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 53% | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BAL | 78% | 4 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  NYJ | 73% | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  DET | 22% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  GB | 74% | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |