Jonathan Mingo
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 24%
25 yrs · 6′2″, 225 lb · Mississippi · 2023 rd 2 pk 39
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.8 | 0.0 – 15.5 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 11.6 | 0.0 – 35.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 2.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.1 | 4.2 – 35.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 10.7 | 0.0 – 39.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.0% | no range | +1573 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.4% | no range | +7257 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.08 | – | 24% | 0.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.09 | – | 24% | 1.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7.3 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.14 | – | 28% | 1.3 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.07 | – | 19% | 2.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 19% | 2 |
| 2025 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 24% | 4 |
| 2024 | 14 | 42 | 17 | 167 | 0 | 9% | 3 | 1 | 47% | 32 |
| 2023 | 15 | 85 | 43 | 418 | 0 | 19% | 7 | 3 | 90% | 85 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 34 | 97% | 1.1 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 34 | 82% | 17.2 | -1.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 34 | 88% | 17.8 | -1.7 |
| Anytime TD | 34 | 15% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 34 | 4% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 26 | 73% | 9.8 | -0.1 |
| Longest rush | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | -3.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 19% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | NYG | 44% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  WAS | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LAC | 36% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIN | 10% | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DET | 21% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 | WAS | 35% | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 17 |  PHI | 48% | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 14 |  CIN | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 13 | NYG | 34% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |