Bryce Young
QB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 97%
25 yrs · 5′10″, 204 lb · Alabama · 2023 rd 1 pk 1
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | ||||
| Passing yards | 257.6 | 139.4 – 361.7 | – | Solid |
| Passing TDs | 1.7 | 0.0 – 3.1 | – | Solid |
| Completions | 22.9 | 12.1 – 30.6 | – | Solid |
| Pass attempts | 33.2 | 18.8 – 43.7 | – | Solid |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.0 – 2.2 | – | Solid |
| Pass + rush yards | 269.6 | 163.0 – 367.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest completion | 41.7 | 20.9 – 58.6 | – | Solid |
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 12.0 | 0.0 – 33.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 2.4 | 1.0 – 6.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 10.4 | 2.0 – 18.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 14.7% | no range | +581 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.1% | no range | +3149 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 40.3 | 24.0 | 313.0 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 2.33 | 23.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 39.2 | 23.4 | 293.8 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 1.6 | 7.8 | 1.80 | 21.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 32.5 | 20.0 | 225.2 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 3.7 | 17.3 | 1.70 | 17.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 40.3 | 24.0 | 313.0 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 2.33 | 23.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 121 | 72 | 939 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 69 |
| 2025 | 16 | 478 | 304 | 3,011 | 23 | 11 | 54 | 216 | 27 | 218 |
| 2024 | 14 | 384 | 234 | 2,403 | 15 | 9 | 43 | 249 | 29 | 195 |
| 2023 | 16 | 527 | 315 | 2,877 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 253 | 62 | 156 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 47 | 85% | 57.6 | +7.9 |
| Passing TDs | 47 | 87% | 0.8 | -0.0 |
| Completions | 47 | 91% | 4.7 | +0.2 |
| Rushing yards | 47 | 77% | 11.8 | +0.7 |
| Pass attempts | 47 | 89% | 6.5 | +1.1 |
| Interceptions | 47 | 85% | 0.7 | +0.0 |
| Pass + rush yards | 47 | 83% | 57.9 | +5.1 |
| Rush attempts | 47 | 89% | 1.6 | +0.0 |
| Anytime TD | 47 | 13% vs 17% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 47 | 3% vs 4% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest completion | 47 | 87% | 10.3 | +0.6 |
| Longest rush | 44 | 75% | 5.7 | +0.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CLE | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 291 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  ATL | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 287 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CHI | 90% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 361 | 4 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  LA | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 264 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  TB | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 266 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  SEA | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 54 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 | TB | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 191 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NO | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 49 | 163 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 | LA | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 206 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  SF | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 169 | 1 |