Brock Bowers
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 21.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 93%
23 yrs · 6′3″, 235 lb · Georgia · 2024 rd 1 pk 13
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 55.2 | 16.2 – 105.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 5.1 | 1.0 – 8.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 20.6 | 8.9 – 34.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 48.5 | 15.9 – 106.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 34.1% | no range | +193 | Differs from form |
| First TD scorer | 6.5% | no range | +1441 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 59.0 | 0.67 | 33% | 0.63 | 2.00 | 89% | 16.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 57.2 | 1.00 | 27% | 0.59 | 2.25 | 93% | 17.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 61.7 | 0.80 | 26% | 0.60 | 2.25 | 90% | 17.0 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 116.0 | 1.00 | 43% | 0.92 | 3.00 | 79% | 27.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 116 | 1 | 43% | 1 | 3 | 79% | 28 |
| 2025 | 12 | 86 | 64 | 680 | 7 | 23% | 6 | 18 | 86% | 176 |
| 2024 | 17 | 153 | 112 | 1,194 | 5 | 26% | 9 | 16 | 85% | 263 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 29 | 69% | 2.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 29 | 72% | 30.0 | +0.7 |
| Rush + rec yards | 29 | 79% | 27.6 | +2.8 |
| Anytime TD | 29 | 26% vs 31% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 29 | 86% | 8.2 | -0.2 |
| First TD scorer | 29 | 8% vs 7% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NO | 79% | 13 | 10 | 116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  HOU | 98% | 5 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  PHI | 90% | 8 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DEN | 100% | 5 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  LAC | 98% | 4 | 4 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  CLE | 96% | 9 | 6 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  DAL | 97% | 12 | 7 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 | DEN | 83% | 3 | 1 | 31 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  JAX | 81% | 13 | 12 | 127 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  CHI | 77% | 6 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |