Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.0
- Depth
- #5
- Recent snaps
- 53%
23 yrs · 6′4″, 252 lb · Texas · 2024 rd 4 pk 101
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 9.0 | 0.0 – 24.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0.0 – 2.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 11.3 | 2.2 – 23.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 8.9 | 0.0 – 25.6 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 8.7% | no range | +1049 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.3% | no range | +4223 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 0.33 | 5% | 0.09 | 1.00 | 53% | 3.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 8.4 | 0.20 | 6% | 0.10 | 1.00 | 53% | 3.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 0.10 | 8% | 0.15 | 1.00 | 50% | 3.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 34 | 29 | 190 | 1 | 9% | 2 | 10 | 52% | 54 |
| 2024 | 15 | 43 | 33 | 342 | 1 | 10% | 3 | 6 | 56% | 73 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 27 | 78% | 1.6 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 27 | 78% | 17.9 | +2.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 27 | 78% | 18.2 | +2.0 |
| Anytime TD | 27 | 14% vs 7% | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 27 | 3% vs 4% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 22 | 86% | 8.4 | +0.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 16 |  TB | 57% | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NO | 53% | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  LA | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  SF | 57% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  ATL | 48% | 4 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 | NO | 36% | 5 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  GB | 50% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  BUF | 54% | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  NYJ | 37% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 | ATL | 59% | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |