Bucky Irving
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 17.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 62%
24 yrs · 5′10″, 194 lb · Oregon; Minnesota · 2024 rd 4 pk 125
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 62.2 | 17.1 – 106.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 15.2 | 1.0 – 21.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 16.9 | 5.8 – 31.8 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 16.0 | 0.0 – 46.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.9 | 1.0 – 5.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.8 | 2.7 – 25.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 78.2 | 27.3 – 121.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 37.5% | no range | +166 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.9% | no range | +1025 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 13.3 | 60.0 | 0.33 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 20.3 | 2.33 | 64% | 13.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 15.0 | 56.8 | 0.20 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 17.6 | 2.20 | 62% | 12.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.7 | 59.4 | 0.20 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 24.7 | 2.33 | 59% | 13.3 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 13.3 | 60.0 | 0.33 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 20.3 | 2.33 | 64% | 13.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 40 | 180 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 61 | 7 | 64% | 41 |
| 2025 | 10 | 173 | 588 | 1 | 35 | 30 | 277 | 22 | 62% | 139 |
| 2024 | 17 | 207 | 1,122 | 8 | 52 | 47 | 392 | 47 | 44% | 244 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 2 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often foot
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 28 | 82% | 25.8 | -0.4 |
| Receptions | 28 | 82% | 1.5 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 28 | 75% | 17.2 | +4.3 |
| Rush attempts | 28 | 86% | 3.7 | -0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 28 | 79% | 32.0 | +6.0 |
| Anytime TD | 28 | 44% vs 46% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 28 | 11% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Longest rush | 28 | 71% | 10.0 | +1.7 |
| Longest reception | 26 | 77% | 9.1 | +1.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIN | 52% | 4 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CLE | 78% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CIN | 61% | 7 | 7 | 48 | 8 | 45 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CAR | 63% | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIA | 54% | 6 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CAR | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  ATL | 54% | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NO | 49% | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 55 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ARI | 52% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 61 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  PHI | 61% | 5 | 5 | 102 | 15 | 63 | 0 | 1 |