Audric Estimé
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.0
- Depth
- #5
- Recent snaps
- 54%
23 yrs · 5′11″, 227 lb · Notre Dame · 2024 rd 5 pk 147
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 28.8 | 0.0 – 59.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 5.5 | 1.0 – 16.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 9.9 | 3.3 – 19.4 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 12.7 | 0.0 – 29.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 3.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.5 | 1.7 – 22.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 41.4 | 4.8 – 83.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 23.5% | no range | +325 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.5% | no range | +1081 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 13.3 | 58.7 | 0.33 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 21.3 | 2.50 | 73% | 13.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.2 | 39.6 | 0.20 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 20.6 | 2.00 | 54% | 9.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.4 | 32.9 | 0.30 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 12.1 | 1.57 | 38% | 7.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 46 | 198 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 103 | 6 | 54% | 48 |
| 2024 | 13 | 76 | 310 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 11 | 17% | 49 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often thigh
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 18 | 89% | 13.9 | +4.7 |
| Receptions | 18 | 83% | 0.9 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 18 | 89% | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| Rush attempts | 18 | 94% | 3.5 | +0.7 |
| Rush + rec yards | 18 | 94% | 16.1 | +3.6 |
| Anytime TD | 18 | 12% vs 17% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 18 | 3% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 18 | 89% | 4.5 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | +1.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  ATL | 84% | 5 | 5 | 43 | 21 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TEN | 76% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 94 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYJ | 58% | 4 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CAR | 36% | 3 | 3 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TB | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  KC | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 17 |  CIN | 30% | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 16 |  LAC | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 15 |  IND | 21% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 13 |  CLE | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 |