NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

RB
91% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
44.5
Implied team total
21.0
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
28%

26 yrs · 5′11″, 210 lb · Purdue; Iowa · 2024 rd 5 pk 166

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards16.40.0 – 43.0–Solid
Rush attempts2.90.0 – 9.4–Solid
Longest rush9.11.3 – 17.3–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards5.10.0 – 11.2–Solid
Receptions0.90.0 – 2.2–Solid
Longest reception10.21.5 – 20.5–Solid
Rush + rec yards21.50.0 – 52.2–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD6.2%no range+1513Solid
First TD scorer1.3%no range+7737Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 331.05.70.000.00.00.0–2%-0.1
Last 557.036.40.002.21.810.25.0028%6.9
Last 101011.550.90.102.62.220.13.8345%10.7
2026 season31.05.70.000.00.00.0–2%-0.1

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202633170000–2%-0
202515176740248362882654%161
202417192839553382842857%182

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder

2025Shoulder×2
2024Ankle

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards3288%26.5+0.5
Receptions3284%1.3+0.2
Receiving yards3281%16.2+2.9
Rush attempts3284%4.4+0.4
Rush + rec yards3281%29.4+2.7
Anytime TD3225% vs 28%0.4+0.0
First TD scorer327% vs 6%0.1-0.0
Longest rush3275%7.7+1.0
Longest reception2976%7.4+0.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3TEN2%0001300
2026 wk 2LA2%0000000
2026 wk 1DAL3%00021400
2025 wk 18DAL69%98561810301
2025 wk 17LV66%21-5146200
2025 wk 16MIN62%227167100
2025 wk 15WAS76%4327157002
2025 wk 13NE49%11-3103600
2025 wk 12DET71%4368206200
2025 wk 11GB51%4451198800