Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 44.5
- Implied team total
- 21.0
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 28%
26 yrs · 5′11″, 210 lb · Purdue; Iowa · 2024 rd 5 pk 166
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 16.4 | 0.0 – 43.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 2.9 | 0.0 – 9.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 9.1 | 1.3 – 17.3 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 5.1 | 0.0 – 11.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.9 | 0.0 – 2.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.2 | 1.5 – 20.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 21.5 | 0.0 – 52.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.2% | no range | +1513 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.3% | no range | +7737 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 2% | -0.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.0 | 36.4 | 0.00 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 10.2 | 5.00 | 28% | 6.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.5 | 50.9 | 0.10 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 20.1 | 3.83 | 45% | 10.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 2% | -0.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2% | -0 |
| 2025 | 15 | 176 | 740 | 2 | 48 | 36 | 288 | 26 | 54% | 161 |
| 2024 | 17 | 192 | 839 | 5 | 53 | 38 | 284 | 28 | 57% | 182 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 32 | 88% | 26.5 | +0.5 |
| Receptions | 32 | 84% | 1.3 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 32 | 81% | 16.2 | +2.9 |
| Rush attempts | 32 | 84% | 4.4 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 32 | 81% | 29.4 | +2.7 |
| Anytime TD | 32 | 25% vs 28% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 32 | 7% vs 6% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 32 | 75% | 7.7 | +1.0 |
| Longest reception | 29 | 76% | 7.4 | +0.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 2 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2026 wk 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 18 | 69% | 9 | 8 | 56 | 18 | 103 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 66% | 2 | 1 | -5 | 14 | 62 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 16 | 62% | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 71 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 76% | 4 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 70 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2025 wk 13 | 49% | 1 | 1 | -3 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 12 | 71% | 4 | 3 | 68 | 20 | 62 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 11 | 51% | 4 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 88 | 0 | 0 |