NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Kimani Vidal

RB
74% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
17.8
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
36%

25 yrs · 5′8″, 215 lb · Troy · 2024 rd 6 pk 181

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards13.60.0 – 39.3–Solid
Rush attempts3.30.0 – 9.3–Solid
Longest rush9.51.5 – 18.4–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards9.80.0 – 26.6–Solid
Receptions1.40.0 – 3.1–Solid
Longest reception11.72.1 – 26.5–Solid
Rush + rec yards23.42.3 – 59.3–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD12.6%no range+692Solid
First TD scorer3.5%no range+2720Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 334.012.30.002.01.011.31.5043%3.4
Last 554.012.00.001.40.86.41.5036%2.6
Last 101010.137.10.201.51.013.02.4053%7.2
2026 season20.53.00.001.50.57.01.0018%1.5

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202621603114118%3
202513155643322161363254%118
202494315509562531%33

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · most often neck

2025Neck×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards2370%26.9+2.4
Receptions2391%1.2-0.2
Receiving yards2383%11.2+0.9
Rush attempts2383%4.4+0.7
Rush + rec yards2370%33.1+0.6
Anytime TD2324% vs 22%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer236% vs 4%0.1+0.0
Longest rush2282%8.2+1.7
Longest reception1471%9.0+2.9

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3BUF25%31141600
2026 wk 2LV10%0000000
2025 wk 19NE93%3220113100
2025 wk 18DEN20%11-231200
2025 wk 16DAL33%00051100
2025 wk 15KC64%1115123300
2025 wk 14PHI69%3160144400
2025 wk 13LV76%11112512601
2025 wk 11JAX52%22-151300
2025 wk 10PIT93%1113259501