Casey Washington
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 51.5
- Implied team total
- 24.0
- Depth
- #8
- Recent snaps
- 50%
25 yrs · 6′0″, 200 lb · Illinois · 2024 rd 6 pk 187
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.8 | 0.0 – 18.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 11.9 | 0.0 – 41.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.0 – 2.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest reception | 17.5 | 3.6 – 37.7 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush + rec yards | 12.3 | 0.0 – 37.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.1% | no range | +1306 | Little to go on |
| First TD scorer | 2.1% | no range | +4686 | Little to go on |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 14.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.15 | – | 35% | 2.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 18.8 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.25 | – | 50% | 3.1 |
| Last 10 | 7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 15.4 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.21 | – | 38% | 2.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 94 | 0 | 8% | 1 | – | 50% | 15 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 7% | 2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 2 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 7 | 86% | 1.1 | -0.3 |
| Receiving yards | 7 | 100% | 11.9 | +0.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 7 | 100% | 9.2 | +3.2 |
| Anytime TD | 7 | 8% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 7 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 5 | 100% | 2.7 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
