NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Jawhar Jordan

RB
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
25.8
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
30%

27 yrs · 5′10″, 186 lb · Louisville; Syracuse · 2024 rd 6 pk 205

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards19.00.0 – 72.6–Little to go on
Rush attempts6.20.0 – 13.6–Little to go on
Longest rush8.22.6 – 20.7–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards5.40.0 – 11.1–Little to go on
Receptions1.00.0 – 2.5–Little to go on
Longest reception10.42.0 – 22.3–Little to go on
Rush + rec yards24.40.0 – 58.9–Little to go on
Touchdowns
Anytime TD9.0%no range+1014Little to go on
First TD scorer3.2%no range+2980Little to go on

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 339.330.70.001.71.75.71.0026%5.3
Last 5410.848.30.001.81.88.52.5030%7.4
Last 10410.848.30.001.81.88.52.5030%7.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202544319307734530%30

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2025Ankle

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards450%37.7+12.0
Receptions475%2.2+0.8
Receiving yards4100%10.5-1.1
Rush attempts475%5.0-0.1
Rush + rec yards450%56.4+2.8
Anytime TD431% vs 0%0.3-0.3
First TD scorer47% vs 0%0.1-0.1
Longest rush450%18.7+8.3
Longest reception2100%2.5+2.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 4 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 18IND15%0005300
2025 wk 17LAC17%00083600
2025 wk 16LV46%5517155300
2025 wk 15ARI42%22171510100