Jawhar Jordan
RB- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 25.8
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 30%
27 yrs · 5′10″, 186 lb · Louisville; Syracuse · 2024 rd 6 pk 205
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 19.0 | 0.0 – 72.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush attempts | 6.2 | 0.0 – 13.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest rush | 8.2 | 2.6 – 20.7 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 5.4 | 0.0 – 11.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 2.5 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest reception | 10.4 | 2.0 – 22.3 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush + rec yards | 24.4 | 0.0 – 58.9 | – | Little to go on |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 9.0% | no range | +1014 | Little to go on |
| First TD scorer | 3.2% | no range | +2980 | Little to go on |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 9.3 | 30.7 | 0.00 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 1.00 | 26% | 5.3 |
| Last 5 | 4 | 10.8 | 48.3 | 0.00 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 2.50 | 30% | 7.4 |
| Last 10 | 4 | 10.8 | 48.3 | 0.00 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 2.50 | 30% | 7.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 43 | 193 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 30% | 30 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 4 | 50% | 37.7 | +12.0 |
| Receptions | 4 | 75% | 2.2 | +0.8 |
| Receiving yards | 4 | 100% | 10.5 | -1.1 |
| Rush attempts | 4 | 75% | 5.0 | -0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 4 | 50% | 56.4 | +2.8 |
| Anytime TD | 4 | 31% vs 0% | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| First TD scorer | 4 | 7% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Longest rush | 4 | 50% | 18.7 | +8.3 |
| Longest reception | 2 | 100% | 2.5 | +2.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 4 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 17 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 16 | 46% | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 53 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2025 wk 15 | 42% | 2 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 101 | 0 | 0 |