Ryan Flournoy
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 22.8
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 68%
26 yrs · 6′1″, 205 lb · Southeast Missouri State; Iowa Western CC · 2024 rd 6 pk 216
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.7 | 0.0 – 16.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 25.9 | 4.9 – 66.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.0 – 5.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.4 | 5.0 – 35.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 35.1 | 3.8 – 77.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 11.4% | no range | +776 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.6% | no range | +3771 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 22.3 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.36 | 4.00 | 71% | 5.2 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 30.6 | 0.20 | 18% | 0.37 | 2.50 | 68% | 7.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 34.4 | 0.30 | 15% | 0.31 | 2.25 | 60% | 8.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 22.3 | 0.00 | 18% | 0.36 | 4.00 | 71% | 5.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 67 | 0 | 18% | 1 | 4 | 71% | 16 |
| 2025 | 15 | 56 | 40 | 475 | 4 | 11% | 4 | 7 | 48% | 114 |
| 2024 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 102 | 0 | 4% | 1 | – | 21% | 18 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 24 | 92% | 1.5 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 24 | 83% | 20.5 | +3.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 24 | 83% | 22.2 | +3.0 |
| Anytime TD | 24 | 10% vs 17% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 24 | 2% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 18 | 78% | 8.8 | +2.3 |
| Longest rush | 3 | 100% | 4.3 | +0.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BAL | 66% | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  WAS | 76% | 6 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYG | 71% | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | NYG | 87% | 7 | 5 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  LAC | 40% | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIN | 64% | 5 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  DET | 65% | 13 | 9 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  KC | 38% | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  PHI | 45% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  LV | 43% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |