NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Blake Corum

RB
93% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
43.5
Implied team total
23.3
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
34%

25 yrs · 5′8″, 202 lb · Michigan · 2024 rd 3 pk 83

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards38.95.2 – 74.3–Solid
Rush attempts8.41.0 – 14.5–Solid
Longest rush14.04.7 – 25.7–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards6.30.0 – 22.9–Solid
Receptions1.10.0 – 3.1–Solid
Longest reception10.41.1 – 21.4–Solid
Rush + rec yards45.26.0 – 84.8–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD16.4%no range+508Solid
First TD scorer3.8%no range+2516Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 339.349.30.001.71.04.31.0032%6.4
Last 558.644.40.001.61.27.41.0034%6.4
Last 10109.846.30.201.31.07.31.8034%7.6
2026 season39.349.30.001.71.04.31.0032%6.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
202632814805313132%19
2025171457466148362829%122
2024155820708758813%34

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · most often ankle

2025Ankle

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards3580%19.0+1.1
Receptions35100%0.7-0.0
Receiving yards3594%6.5-1.2
Rush attempts3594%3.1-0.1
Rush + rec yards3586%21.3-1.1
Anytime TD3517% vs 14%0.3-0.0
First TD scorer344% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest rush3488%5.9+1.0
Longest reception1587%4.2+0.6

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3DEN29%42061500
2026 wk 2NYG45%1113127900
2026 wk 1SF23%000105400
2025 wk 21SEA38%332495500
2025 wk 20CHI37%00061900
2025 wk 19CAR37%2213114500
2025 wk 18ARI33%1110135900
2025 wk 17ATL25%00061800
2025 wk 16SEA29%2113144801
2025 wk 15DET46%000117101