Will Shipley
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.3
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 28%
24 yrs · 5′11″, 210 lb · Clemson · 2024 rd 4 pk 127
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 15.2 | 0.0 – 29.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 3.3 | 0.0 – 7.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 7.4 | 0.7 – 16.5 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 10.9 | 0.0 – 28.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0.0 – 3.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.8 | 2.0 – 24.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 26.1 | 1.8 – 65.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 13.5% | no range | +642 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.3% | no range | +4165 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 0.00 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 2.50 | 28% | 2.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 0.00 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 2.50 | 18% | 1.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 0.00 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 4.00 | 32% | 3.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 32% | 9 |
| 2025 | 14 | 14 | 49 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 56 | 1 | 13% | 19 |
| 2024 | 13 | 30 | 82 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 4 | 7% | 16 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often oblique
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 31 | 87% | 11.1 | -0.1 |
| Receptions | 31 | 90% | 0.6 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 31 | 97% | 5.2 | -0.6 |
| Rush attempts | 31 | 90% | 2.1 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 31 | 90% | 14.0 | -0.3 |
| Anytime TD | 31 | 7% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 23 | 1% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 12 | 67% | 8.7 | +4.1 |
| Longest reception | 9 | 100% | 4.0 | +0.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CHI | 26% | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TEN | 51% | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  WAS | 18% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  SF | 4% | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | WAS | 41% | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BUF | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | WAS | 11% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LV | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LAC | 10% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | CHI | 7% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |