Jared Wiley
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 26.0
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 17%
25 yrs · 6′6″, 249 lb · TCU; Texas · 2024 rd 4 pk 131
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 4.3 | 0.0 – 13.4 | – | Little to go on |
| Receptions | 1.1 | 0.0 – 1.9 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest reception | 10.0 | 1.1 – 21.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush + rec yards | 6.4 | 0.0 – 19.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 4.1% | no range | +2329 | Little to go on |
| First TD scorer | 1.1% | no range | +9001 | Little to go on |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 2% | 0.04 | – | 17% | 1.0 |
| Last 5 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 2% | 0.04 | – | 17% | 1.0 |
| Last 10 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 2% | 0.04 | – | 17% | 1.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 0 | – | 17% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0 | – | 18% | 2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 3 | 100% | 0.4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | +0.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 3 | 100% | 4.0 | +0.3 |
| Anytime TD | 3 | 8% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 3 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 2 | 100% | 5.1 | -2.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 3 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  LV | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DAL | 14% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 2 |  CIN | 18% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |