Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 44.5
- Implied team total
- 23.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 63%
24 yrs · 6′3″, 220 lb · Ohio State · 2024 rd 1 pk 4
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.1 | 0.0 – 15.8 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 25.9 | 0.0 – 63.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 0.0 – 3.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 20.1 | 5.8 – 37.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 25.4 | 0.0 – 71.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 11.7% | no range | +758 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5602 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 24.3 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.24 | – | 77% | 3.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 17.4 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.24 | – | 63% | 2.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 37.5 | 0.20 | 14% | 0.38 | 3.50 | 65% | 7.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 24.3 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.24 | – | 77% | 3.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 7% | 1 | – | 77% | 11 |
| 2025 | 12 | 73 | 41 | 608 | 4 | 18% | 6 | 11 | 71% | 128 |
| 2024 | 17 | 116 | 62 | 885 | 8 | 23% | 11 | 14 | 79% | 197 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often heel
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 29 | 86% | 1.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 29 | 79% | 28.3 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 29 | 83% | 26.3 | +2.1 |
| Anytime TD | 29 | 29% vs 38% | 0.5 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 29 | 6% vs 14% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 27 | 93% | 10.9 | -0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  SF | 77% | 5 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  SEA | 74% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  LAC | 79% | 3 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CIN | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  ATL | 51% | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  TB | 61% | 7 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 | SEA | 91% | 12 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  DAL | 72% | 10 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  GB | 86% | 6 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  IND | 23% | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |