Jalen McMillan
WR
24 yrs · 6′1″, 192 lb · Washington · 2024 rd 3 pk 92
Projections
Jalen McMillan is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 41.7 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.24 | – | 37% | 6.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 35.6 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.22 | 0.50 | 42% | 6.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 47.6 | 0.50 | 14% | 0.36 | 1.00 | 60% | 11.3 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.07 | – | 3% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 3% | 0 |
| 2025 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 178 | 0 | 11% | 1 | 1 | 52% | 30 |
| 2024 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 461 | 8 | 13% | 5 | 8 | 71% | 135 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 18 | 94% | 1.6 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 18 | 83% | 23.2 | +1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 18 | 89% | 23.4 | +2.8 |
| Anytime TD | 18 | 19% vs 33% | 0.4 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 18 | 5% vs 11% | 0.1 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 17 | 94% | 8.9 | +0.4 |
| Longest rush | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | +0.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIN | 3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CAR | 55% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIA | 52% | 9 | 7 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CAR | 53% | 3 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  ATL | 46% | 2 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 19 |  WAS | 91% | 4 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  NO | 88% | 6 | 5 | 74 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 17 | CAR | 69% | 5 | 5 | 51 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024 wk 16 |  DAL | 83% | 7 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 15 |  LAC | 64% | 6 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |