Adonai Mitchell
WR
23 yrs · 6′2″, 205 lb · Texas; Georgia · 2024 rd 2 pk 52
Projections
Adonai Mitchell is listed Doubtful and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 41.0 | 0.00 | 20% | 0.65 | 1.00 | 68% | 7.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 37.6 | 0.00 | 21% | 0.70 | 1.00 | 74% | 6.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 42.4 | 0.20 | 24% | 0.71 | 1.29 | 76% | 8.7 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 61.5 | 0.00 | 23% | 0.72 | 1.00 | 75% | 10.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 123 | 0 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 75% | 21 |
| 2025 | 16 | 74 | 33 | 453 | 2 | 15% | 7 | 8 | 51% | 88 |
| 2024 | 17 | 55 | 23 | 312 | 0 | 11% | 5 | 7 | 36% | 54 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often finger
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 33 | 88% | 1.4 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 33 | 91% | 19.6 | +3.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 33 | 88% | 19.7 | +3.5 |
| Anytime TD | 33 | 11% vs 6% | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 33 | 3% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 24 | 83% | 10.9 | +4.6 |
| Longest rush | 5 | 60% | 8.2 | +0.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  GB | 82% | 12 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  TEN | 69% | 3 | 3 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  BUF | 52% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NE | 81% | 9 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NO | 86% | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  JAX | 79% | 9 | 6 | 58 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIA | 91% | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ATL | 86% | 12 | 8 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  BAL | 85% | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | NE | 49% | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |