Ladd McConkey
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 17.8
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 72%
24 yrs · 6′0″, 185 lb · Georgia · 2024 rd 2 pk 34
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.1 | 0.0 – 16.8 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 36.4 | 7.3 – 77.0 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.2 | 1.0 – 5.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 18.1 | 6.1 – 35.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 32.2 | 5.4 – 87.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 14.0% | no range | +613 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.6% | no range | +3707 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 61.0 | 0.33 | 18% | 0.44 | 2.00 | 61% | 12.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 49.2 | 0.20 | 14% | 0.37 | 1.50 | 72% | 9.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 37.3 | 0.30 | 17% | 0.42 | 1.50 | 73% | 8.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 61.0 | 0.33 | 18% | 0.44 | 2.00 | 61% | 12.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 183 | 1 | 18% | 1 | 2 | 61% | 36 |
| 2025 | 16 | 106 | 66 | 789 | 6 | 21% | 8 | 15 | 78% | 181 |
| 2024 | 16 | 112 | 82 | 1,149 | 7 | 25% | 9 | 10 | 73% | 241 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 2 seasons · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 34 | 85% | 1.9 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 34 | 79% | 29.4 | +0.6 |
| Rush + rec yards | 34 | 79% | 28.2 | +1.7 |
| Anytime TD | 34 | 30% vs 35% | 0.4 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 34 | 76% | 11.8 | +3.1 |
| First TD scorer | 34 | 7% vs 9% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  BUF | 88% | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  LV | 46% | 3 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  ARI | 49% | 7 | 5 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  NE | 88% | 4 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  HOU | 89% | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DAL | 75% | 6 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  KC | 74% | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  PHI | 86% | 5 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | LV | 76% | 6 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  JAX | 62% | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |