Ricky Pearsall
WR
26 yrs · 6′1″, 189 lb · Florida; Arizona State · 2024 rd 1 pk 31
Projections
Ricky Pearsall is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 60.3 | 0.00 | 19% | 0.48 | – | 70% | 9.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 40.2 | 0.00 | 16% | 0.41 | 1.00 | 74% | 7.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 52.8 | 0.00 | 17% | 0.46 | 1.33 | 77% | 8.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 53 | 36 | 528 | 0 | 18% | 4 | 4 | 78% | 89 |
| 2024 | 11 | 46 | 31 | 400 | 3 | 13% | 4 | 8 | 67% | 94 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 21 | 21% vs 14% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 21 | 62% | 2.1 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 21 | 52% | 36.6 | +6.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 21 | 52% | 38.3 | +7.5 |
| First TD scorer | 21 | 6% vs 10% | 0.1 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 17 | 65% | 12.7 | +3.0 |
| Longest rush | 4 | 50% | 13.1 | -6.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 20 |  SEA | 70% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CHI | 81% | 8 | 5 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  TEN | 58% | 7 | 6 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CLE | 87% | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  CAR | 76% | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  ARI | 75% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  JAX | 56% | 5 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 | ARI | 97% | 11 | 8 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 2 |  NO | 89% | 6 | 4 | 56 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 1 | SEA | 84% | 7 | 4 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |