Malachi Corley
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 16%
24 yrs · 5′11″, 215 lb · Western Kentucky · 2024 rd 3 pk 65
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | |||||||
| Longest rush | 8.9 | 0.0 – 17.7 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 3.7 | 0.0 – 2.4 | – | – | – | – | Differs from form |
| Receptions | 0.9 | 0.0 – 0.9 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.5 | 1.9 – 29.5 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 4.1 | 0.0 – 2.2 | – | – | – | – | Differs from form |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 2.3% | no range | yes | +5000 / –FD | – | +18.5%doubt | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | yes | +10000 / –FD | – | +25.9%doubt | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0% | 0.00 | – | 0% | 0.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.05 | 1.00 | 16% | 1.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.05 | 0.33 | 22% | 1.8 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0% | 0.00 | – | 0% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | – | 0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 79 | 0 | 5% | 1 | 1 | 27% | 32 |
| 2024 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 4% | 0 | 2 | 25% | 5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 17 | 100% | 0.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | -0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 17 | 94% | 10.7 | +1.5 |
| Anytime TD | 17 | 8% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 17 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 10 | 90% | 6.2 | +1.1 |
| Longest rush | 10 | 80% | 7.5 | +2.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CAR | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  JAX | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CIN | 42% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 38% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 45% | 4 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CHI | 26% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 25% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 0 |