Phil Mafah
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 44.5
- Implied team total
- 21.0
- Recent snaps
- 18%
23 yrs · 6′1″, 232 lb · Clemson · 2025 rd 7 pk 239
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 15.7 | 0.0 – 47.4 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush attempts | 3.6 | 0.0 – 9.9 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest rush | 9.0 | 2.1 – 17.8 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 9.1 | 0.0 – 17.3 | – | Little to go on |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 0.0 – 3.4 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest reception | 10.9 | 0.9 – 21.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush + rec yards | 24.8 | 0.0 – 62.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 7.5% | no range | +1242 | Little to go on |
| First TD scorer | 4.4% | no range | +2155 | Little to go on |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 1 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 18% | 10.9 |
| Last 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 18% | 10.9 |
| Last 10 | 1 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 18% | 10.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 18% | 11 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 1 | 7% vs 100% | 0.9 | – |
| Rushing yards | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | – |
| Receptions | 1 | 100% | 1.4 | – |
| Receiving yards | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | – |
| Rush attempts | 1 | 100% | 2.5 | – |
| Rush + rec yards | 1 | 100% | 17.9 | – |
| Longest reception | 1 | 100% | 1.9 | – |
| First TD scorer | 1 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | – |
| Longest rush | 1 | 100% | 1.1 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 1 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  NYG | 18% | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 1 |