Emeka Egbuka
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 17.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 72%
23 yrs · 6′1″, 205 lb · Ohio State · 2025 rd 1 pk 19
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.6 | 0.0 – 14.9 | – | Differs from form |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 39.3 | 9.9 – 80.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 1.0 – 6.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 23.0 | 6.5 – 38.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 37.7 | 5.4 – 92.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 19.2% | no range | +421 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.8% | no range | +2507 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 0.33 | 21% | 0.55 | 2.00 | 82% | 10.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 33.8 | 0.20 | 18% | 0.46 | 1.50 | 72% | 7.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 36.2 | 0.10 | 21% | 0.54 | 1.25 | 74% | 7.3 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 0.33 | 21% | 0.55 | 2.00 | 82% | 10.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 141 | 1 | 21% | 2 | 2 | 82% | 33 |
| 2025 | 17 | 127 | 63 | 938 | 6 | 24% | 10 | 15 | 78% | 196 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 17 | 94% | 1.8 | -0.5 |
| Receiving yards | 17 | 71% | 36.6 | -1.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 17 | 71% | 38.4 | -3.2 |
| Anytime TD | 17 | 29% vs 29% | 0.4 | -0.1 |
| Longest reception | 17 | 65% | 13.3 | +2.8 |
| First TD scorer | 17 | 8% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 3 | 100% | 4.3 | +0.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIN | 74% | 9 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CLE | 86% | 5 | 3 | 16 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  CIN | 86% | 6 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CAR | 58% | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  MIA | 58% | 5 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CAR | 56% | 2 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  ATL | 64% | 7 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NO | 88% | 9 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ARI | 85% | 8 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LA | 90% | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |