NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

DJ Giddens

RB
47% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
25.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
18%

23 yrs · 6′1″, 212 lb · Kansas State · 2025 rd 5 pk 151

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards15.10.0 – 51.2–Little to go on
Rush attempts3.90.0 – 9.9–Little to go on
Longest rush10.02.3 – 20.8–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards4.20.0 – 11.2–Little to go on
Receptions0.80.0 – 1.6–Little to go on
Longest reception10.01.2 – 19.8–Little to go on
Rush + rec yards19.40.0 – 49.4–Little to go on
Touchdowns
Anytime TD10.7%no range+833Little to go on
First TD scorer1.8%no range+5402Little to go on

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 334.718.30.000.30.00.03.0020%1.8
Last 555.219.20.000.40.00.02.0018%1.9
Last 1055.219.20.000.40.00.02.0018%1.9

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
2025526960200618%10

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · most often knee

2026Knee

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards580%19.8+0.1
Receptions5100%0.6-0.6
Receiving yards5100%5.1-5.1
Rush attempts560%5.1+0.2
Rush + rec yards580%20.3-0.5
Anytime TD513% vs 0%0.1-0.1
First TD scorer52% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest rush4100%3.1+0.7

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 5 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2025 wk 18HOU31%00083000
2025 wk 5LV14%10052200
2025 wk 3TEN14%0001300
2025 wk 2DEN7%1000000
2025 wk 1MIA25%000124100