Ollie Gordon II
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 14.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 32%
22 yrs · 6′2″, 225 lb · Oklahoma State · 2025 rd 6 pk 179
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 30.1 | 2.7 – 88.8 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 7.0 | 1.0 – 16.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 12.6 | 3.1 – 21.7 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 5.6 | 0.0 – 23.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 0.9 | 0.0 – 2.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.5 | 1.0 – 23.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 35.8 | 3.8 – 80.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 17.7% | no range | +463 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.3% | no range | +2913 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 9.7 | 19.0 | 0.33 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 2.00 | 46% | 5.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.0 | 11.2 | 0.20 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.00 | 32% | 3.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 5.0 | 12.5 | 0.30 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.60 | 27% | 3.6 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 0.50 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 2.00 | 52% | 7.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 52% | 15 |
| 2025 | 17 | 70 | 199 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 21 | 22% | 54 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 17 | 76% | 15.5 | -1.6 |
| Receptions | 17 | 100% | 0.5 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 17 | 94% | 5.4 | -2.0 |
| Rush attempts | 17 | 94% | 2.9 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 17 | 71% | 20.3 | -3.8 |
| Anytime TD | 17 | 11% vs 24% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 17 | 3% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 16 | 81% | 5.6 | -0.1 |
| Longest reception | 7 | 71% | 7.8 | -1.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  KC | 84% | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  SF | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  NE | 36% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  TB | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  CIN | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  PIT | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  NYJ | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NO | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  WAS | 39% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  BUF | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 |