NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Tahj Brooks

RB
52% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
27.0
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
6%

24 yrs · 5′9″, 220 lb · Texas Tech · 2025 rd 6 pk 193

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards4.50.0 – 15.5–Solid
Rush attempts1.30.0 – 3.5–Solid
Longest rush7.61.2 – 16.4–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards3.50.0 – 4.9–Solid
Receptions0.70.0 – 0.9–Solid
Longest reception10.01.2 – 20.9–Solid
Rush + rec yards8.10.0 – 15.5–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD4.2%no range+2301Solid
First TD scorer0.9%no range+10438Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 331.03.30.000.30.33.0–6%1.0
Last 551.43.40.000.20.21.8–6%0.7
Last 10101.12.80.000.20.10.9–6%0.5
2026 season20.00.00.000.00.00.0–2%0.0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20262000000–2%0
20251216450219–6%6

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion

2025Concussion

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards1292%7.3-2.6
Receptions12100%0.4-0.3
Receiving yards12100%3.8-3.0
Rush attempts1292%1.7-0.3
Rush + rec yards12100%8.2-2.7
Anytime TD126% vs 0%0.1-0.1
First TD scorer71% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest rush683%5.9-4.1
Longest reception1100%2.8–

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3PIT0%0000000
2026 wk 1TB3%0000000
2025 wk 17ARI14%11931000
2025 wk 16MIA10%0004700
2025 wk 15BAL1%0000000
2025 wk 12NE14%1002500
2025 wk 11PIT11%0001500
2025 wk 9CHI4%0001100
2025 wk 8NYJ0%0000000
2025 wk 7PIT0%0000000