NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

LeQuint Allen Jr.

RB
71% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
51.5
Implied team total
24.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
20%

22 yrs · 6′0″, 201 lb · Syracuse · 2025 rd 7 pk 236

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards4.60.0 – 20.9–Solid
Rush attempts0.80.0 – 2.8–Solid
Longest rush8.10.9 – 16.7–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards5.40.0 – 17.3–Solid
Receptions1.00.0 – 2.2–Solid
Longest reception10.81.6 – 23.3–Solid
Rush + rec yards10.10.0 – 29.4–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD8.8%no range+1036Solid
First TD scorer1.6%no range+5983Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 330.31.00.001.31.06.01.0018%1.7
Last 551.23.20.000.80.63.61.0020%1.3
Last 10101.96.50.000.70.63.11.2522%1.6
2026 season20.00.00.001.51.04.51.0016%1.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
20262000329116%3
20251623940111054623%25

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · most often hip

2026Hip

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards1794%7.7-0.7
Receptions17100%0.5+0.1
Receiving yards17100%3.8+0.2
Rush attempts1794%1.6-0.1
Rush + rec yards17100%7.1-0.5
Anytime TD179% vs 0%0.1-0.1
First TD scorer172% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest reception1090%3.6-0.7
Longest rush10100%3.9-0.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3NE18%2290000
2026 wk 2DEN15%1000000
2025 wk 19BUF20%1191300
2025 wk 17IND19%0001300
2025 wk 16DEN30%00041000
2025 wk 15NYJ29%11541100
2025 wk 14IND25%2280000
2025 wk 13TEN24%0000000
2025 wk 12ARI15%0001200
2025 wk 11LAC20%00083600