Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 49%
25 yrs · 5′11″, 208 lb · Arizona; New Mexico; Alabama State · 2025 rd 7 pk 245
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 60.1 | 16.0 – 95.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 13.8 | 1.0 – 19.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 16.1 | 5.9 – 25.3 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 9.6 | 0.0 – 22.1 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 2.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.8 | 1.4 – 24.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 69.7 | 15.1 – 121.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 49.3% | no range | +103 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.5% | no range | +1073 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 15.7 | 47.3 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.67 | 48% | 7.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 14.2 | 55.2 | 0.60 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 49% | 9.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.7 | 47.7 | 0.50 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.78 | 38% | 8.3 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 15.7 | 47.3 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.67 | 48% | 7.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 47 | 142 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 48% | 24 |
| 2025 | 17 | 175 | 805 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 68 | 33 | 39% | 140 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 17 | 76% | 30.5 | -2.1 |
| Receptions | 17 | 100% | 0.8 | -0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 17 | 88% | 7.5 | -0.9 |
| Rush attempts | 17 | 94% | 3.4 | +0.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 17 | 65% | 37.9 | -4.9 |
| Anytime TD | 17 | 34% vs 35% | 0.5 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 17 | 8% vs 6% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 17 | 76% | 12.2 | -0.1 |
| Longest reception | 7 | 71% | 8.1 | +0.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  SEA | 57% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  DAL | 37% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  PHI | 49% | 1 | 1 | -7 | 16 | 63 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 | PHI | 36% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | DAL | 64% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 105 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 16 | PHI | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NYG | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 96 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIN | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DEN | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  MIA | 27% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 0 | 0 |